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Securing a Robust Water Supply for Zone 7

 

Various words have been used to describe the characteristics of what we want in a water system. Reliability—consistently providing high-quality water. Resilience—recovering quickly from difficult conditions. Robustness—maintaining performance under stress. These overlap somewhat, but the bottom line is that we want sufficient high-quality water in both wet years and dry years, which means storage in reservoirs and aquifers.

 

We all remember drought years when we were supposed to decrease our water use by 20% or so. Some of that reduction was for discretionary uses, including letting landscaping die, but some was by one-time upgrades in appliances and landscaping, so future reductions become more difficult and impinge upon quality of life for those who have already invested in conservation. Most of us want a water supply chain that stores more water in wet years for use in dry years, so we don’t suffer sacrificial water-conservation restrictions.

 

Three important factors are at the root of our challenge

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(1) California naturally has highly variable precipitation.

This is due largely to the contribution of atmospheric rivers originating thousands of miles away in the Pacific Ocean. Variability in annual precipitation ranges from 4-6 depending on geographical area, and less is being stored as snow because of warmer temperatures. For us, variability is important both locally and in northern California, because most of our water comes from the State Water Project (SWP), which moves water from Northern to Southern California. The Tri-Valley is actually more dependent on the SWP than Southern California. The SWP infrastructure is aging and in need of upgrades.

 

(2) Zone 7 population has grown but SWP deliveries have shrunk.

Zone 7 was formed in 1957 when the Tri-Valley population was about 20,000, primarily in Livermore. Groundwater levels were dropping as usage exceeded natural recharge. Zone 7 joined the new SWP in 1961 to address this shortage of rainfall in our drainage basin. Zone 7’s population is now close to 260,000, and our dependence on the SWP has grown to nearly 80% of consumption. However, water allocations have shrunk due a combination of climate changes and regulations (Figure 1). We can capture more of our drainage basin runoff, but not nearly enough to solve our problem.

 

(3) PFAS contamination shut in three Pleasanton municipal wells.

Perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) are a national water contamination problem. The technology for cleaning them out of our water is well established, but it takes time and money. Zone 7 is well on its way to adding more cleanup capacity, but the contamination of the now inactive Pleasanton wells puts more demand on Zone 7 to supply the difference, and the capacity challenge is greatest in the dry years when the SWP allocation is the smallest. Zone 7 is working with Pleasanton to replace that groundwater capacity.

 

The solutions to these challenges are straightforward in principle but complex in detail: encourage reasonable conservation, add more total supply, and add more storage to save water from wet years to be used in dry years. The complexity is that there are multiple possible projects to address the supply shortages, and they involve technical and financial tradeoffs. We need Directors who are dedicated to solving the problem and not pushing a narrow political agenda.

SWP Deliveries.png

Variability in State Water Project deliveries as a percentage of the contracted amounts—80,000 acre-ft/yr in our case. The periodic dry years drive Zone 7’s need for storage. The declining average drives the need for new water sources.

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​Let's Discuss Solutions

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What about Sites Reservoir, the Chain of Lakes, and the Delta Conveyance? These are all options at various levels in Zone 7 plans, and they can be traded off against each other to some extent, as shown in recent staff analysis slides summarized below. The ultimate decision depends on optimizing the system for the desired reliability in view of uncertainties in both projected weather and estimated project costs and completion schedules. Construction of the Sites reservoir will start soon, and Zone 7 is currently considering its level of participation. The Chain of Lakes project is also currently under consideration, but full development of gravel pits for storage depends on Alameda County Board of Supervisors’ decisions on gravel mining permits. The Delta Conveyance project won’t start for a few years at best and won’t be operational for at least 20 years.

 

How are these projects paid for? Capital expenditures for new water supplies are funded primarily by new meter connection fees, which increase the cost of new housing but lowers the annual costs for all users. However, many of the system upgrades are needed to maintain existing capacity, and those are borne by existing customers.

 

How will the solutions affect my water bill? This is what most people care about. New untreated water sources are about 10 times more expensive than the current SWP water, but that doesn’t say what will happen to your bill. We spend about $800 per year on water. About half is for the meter fee, and only $60 per year is for the untreated water cost. The rest of the cost is for treating and delivering water, flood control, and other expenses. If Zone 7 increased its untreated water supply by 20% at a cost 10 times higher than our current cost, our water bill would be only $10 more per month. If you live in an apartment or condominium, the increase would be far less. If you have a huge yard, please consider drought resistant landscaping.

 

If you want to  discus any of these issues more, write me an email and I'll get back to you.

 

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Supplemental materials from recent Zone 7 staff presentations The first set of slides show how various new supply and storage options affect the ability to avoid water rationing in the future (https://portal.laserfiche.com/Portal/DocView.aspx?id=70654&repo=r-35dfdee4).

​System balance shows the difference between projected consumption and water availability—if it is dropping, we are consuming our grandchildren’s resource. This presentation did not discuss costs or schedule, which would be an important aspect of any future decision. The DCP would not be available until 2045 at the earliest, so it is for a distant and uncertain future.

 

The following slides describe how the Chain of Lakes component fits into the overall system (https://portal.laserfiche.com/Portal/DocView.aspx?id=74082&repo=r-35dfdee4).

​The current concept is to convey water both to and from the existing water treatment plan west of Sycamore Grove Park. This concept greatly increases the ability to store water from the SWP and other sources locally and withdraw it as needed in especially dry years.

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